So How Did My Conference Predictions Pan Out?

It’s always fun to look back at how well your predictions panned out. In the case of this conference it was a sort of mixed bag. My first guess was that the PS4 would have the following tech specs:

  • System Memory: 8GB
  • Video Memory: 2.2 GB
  • CPU: 4x Dual-Core AMD64 “Bulldozer” (so, 8x cores)
  • GPU: AMD R10xx
  • Ports: 4x USB 3.0, 2x Ethernet
  • Drive: Blu-ray
  • HDD: 160GB
  • Audio Output: HDMI & Optical, 2.0, 5.1 & 7.1 channels

In the end this was pretty close to home, or at lest in terms of what we know. It has 8GB of dedicated system RAM, we know it has an AMD processor and an AMD GPU. We don’t know the number of USB ports, but we know it has 3.0, and will include an HDD. So bottom line, these specs turned out more or less exactly right. Sony didn’t mention if the PS4 will have a swappable HDD like the PS3 does, but I never said it would so yay for me.

The next thing I discussed was the controller and I simply regurgitated what all the internet rumors were saying, about the share button, track-pad, etc. Obviously this turned out to be right on the money. Not much to say here, except that the final product is indeed much more refined, although I don’t find it the sexiest controller on the block.

Next came my prediction about the play, create, share concept being built into the system from the ground level. I talked about cloud saved games, ease of sharing content and multiple user sign-ins on the same system. Sony didn’t actually go into too many details about this, but did give an overview about how easy it will be for players to share their experiences with their friends by pressing a single button. I fully expect the rest of the prediction to come true at E3, given the robust network they showcased yesterday.

I then moved on to the games and said “I think we’re only going to get a few sizzle reels, a couple of first-party trailers and that’s about it.” Turns out I was completely wrong on this one. While it’s true only a few first party titles were shown, Sony also brought out some creative concepts and even had third parties involved so that really blew me away. I didn’t expect that whatsoever. Having Blizzard up on stage was the real show stopper though. I don’t think anyone expected that.

The very last prediction I made was that Sony would mention 4K in a big way and that didn’t materialize at all. They never mentioned 4K once, and I’m very pleased about that because it would make people wonder just how expensive the console would cost. As it is now people are curious to know if this is going to cost just an arm, or both an arm and a leg.

Looking back on my predictions I think I did pretty good. I’m super glad 4K was a no-show, and pleasantly surprised that Sony focused so much on games. I’ll have another write-up shortly about my impressions on the games shown and the system as a whole. I want to hear more what you all think though so don’t be shy!